This has all happened before, back in the day we has spinners and weavers, then we got the spinning Jenny(Engine) and this made thread so cheap we needed to speed up weaving = machine weavers(AKA automatic looms) and we had people who hated them.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Luddite We all know how that ended up.
We have an analogous hand task = coding versus coding machines.
They will probably eliminate 80-95% of coding, as the spinners/weavers went away, but there remains a residual artisanal spinner/weaver industry that carries on at a lower pace.
In a similar way this machine code will have the coupled ability to make some code and then test it in use with it's own AI in a repeated/recursive way to make/test/improve code at a rate 10,000 to 1 million times faster than a human.
Each module can then be tested in millions of interactively monitired ways to find/fix/kill bad modules.
It can also pentest in a similar manner, assaulting a system with a blizzard of attack/reset hits to find any bugs etc. Each assault that works might use a human or AI to trouble shoot. This is like the old armored night, once he was unhorsed the peasants would have at him with needles at his his joints/eyes unless his fellows save him = gone.
So this might well reduce low end jobs, but they will still need high end coders to eliminate all flaws in the armor of your code.
I might be simplistic, but I see a parallel in sub 5 nm chip design where the design machines have eliminated almost all of the old hand work.
This is a lot like the 50 million monkeys on 50 million typewriters will eventually write shakespeare... We have all heard this, pity the poor proof readers who will proof them all in a search for the holy grail = zero errors.
In a similar way, LLM's are permutational cross associating engines, matched with sieves to filter out the dross. Less filtering = more dross, AKA slop.
It can certainly create enormous masses of bad code and with well filtered screens for dross, we can see it can create passable code, however stray flaws(flies) can creep in and not get filtered, and humans are better at seeing flies in their oatmeal.
AI seems very good at permutational code assaults on masses of code to find the flies(zero days), so I expect it to make code more secure as few humans have the ability/time to mount that sort of permutational assault on code bases. I see this idea has already taken root within code writers as well as hackers/China etc.
These two opposing forces will assault code bases, one to break and one to fortify. In time there will be fewer places where code bases have hidden flaws as soon all new code will be screened by AI to find breaks so that little or no code will contain these bugs.
Google is vulnerable in search and that already shows as we see a decline as many parallel paths emerge. At the beginning it was a simple lookup for valid information and it became dominant - then pages of pay ranked preference spots filled pages that obscured what you wanted = it became evil.
We see no such thing. Google just announces review revenue and profit and Apple hinted at it not seeing any decline in revenue from their search deal with Google which is performance based.
And Gemini is already integrated into the results page and gives useful answers instantly, alongside advertising... What problem for google are you seeing?
I wonder how the huge slug of memory that might now have to re-direct mid-ramp as this (and other AI pullbacks) ramify forward? Will Crucial re-enter the desktop market? Or will it create a slow/fast subsidence in memory?
We will live in interesting times..
Considering how gasoline pricing works, RAM prices will likely decay at 1/xth the rate that the grew, so that retailers can capture maximum profit per price point before lowering to the next, and manufacturers can hold the oversupply in reserve for more AI demand. I would expect possible sharp price drop events (depending on the overage levels) just after the end of e.g. Micron’s financial years, though, as they will have unloaded the overflow at discount bulk pricing enabling some retailers to undercut the pre-unload pricing and resuming somewhat rational market behavior.
The next-financial-quarter-only mindset is just baiting CXMT into capturing >70% of the market, if they are able to scale their production. Once consumers trust the brand, it's all over for Micron, SK Hynix and Samsung's dominance.
I used to work for Schenectady Chemicals in 1968 we developed solderable self fluxing polyurethane coated enamelled wire, it was an immediate hit and soldered well. Times have changed and I left them in 1978, but it might be an item to look for as I found it very handy.
AI is a house painter, wall to wall, with missed spots and drips. Good coders are artists. That said, artists have been known to use assistants on backgrounds. Perhaps the end case is a similar coder/AI collaborative effort?
Looks like a detailed plan to be anti Russian. From news/web/blogs etc, Russia has steadily driven it's economy down-hill. It also is a plan for the common SF theme of belter colonies, stations. In most of these SF colonies corruption is rampant, de-facto autocracies predominate(the Company Store syndrome)
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