Exactly. The end of the PC era doesn't give rise to the 'iPad era,' it gives rise to Ubiquitous computing, and Apple knows this.
The trajectory goes:
mainframe: one computer, many people
personal computer: one computer, one person
ubiquitous computing: many computers to many people
If anything, people are going to be programming the shit out of everything in the future, not pulling back.
Someone, somewhere will have to program all these wonderful gadgets.
While it is conceivable that all development will occur only inside big mega-corps, I somehow doubt it. People have a voracious appetite for new content.
Smart money is on the tools to create new stuff becoming more widespread, not less.
The trajectory goes: mainframe: one computer, many people personal computer: one computer, one person ubiquitous computing: many computers to many people
If anything, people are going to be programming the shit out of everything in the future, not pulling back.