I think it depends on what you do, if you are doing repetitive work between projects, you're going to find that yes GPT can do most of the work you're doing. However if you're creating new systems, with multiple components and parts. You're going to find that GPT is not that much help.
I pay for GPT-4 and Github Copilot, all I can say is when I'm trying to do repetitive work like writing tests, copilot swoops in and gives me 'mostly' working code. But when I go in to the real creative stuff, that needs real thought and is non-obvious, I don't get much help from copilot it either just doesn't suggest anything or suggests completely the wrong thing.
I think at least for me, the comparison I would use is, construction work. There are many different kinds of constructions, anything simple from making ikea furniture to building bridges. If the coding you do is the equivalent of making ikea furniture. Then yes that stuff is going away, because it's going to be replaced by machines that can produce those parts in bulk.
But if you're creating something special like the Burj Khalifa, or the Golden gate bridge equivalent but in code, no AI is not going to do that for you. It can help with some parts, but no way AI is going to do that sort of engineering, at least not in it's current state.
I think it's worth noting "Coding" spans so many kinds of systems and scale. Not all coding work is the same. Even if you're talking about things which are well-known like "e-commerce" in that industry there are so many variations / many different scales / many different ways to look at the problem.
I pay for GPT-4 and Github Copilot, all I can say is when I'm trying to do repetitive work like writing tests, copilot swoops in and gives me 'mostly' working code. But when I go in to the real creative stuff, that needs real thought and is non-obvious, I don't get much help from copilot it either just doesn't suggest anything or suggests completely the wrong thing.
I think at least for me, the comparison I would use is, construction work. There are many different kinds of constructions, anything simple from making ikea furniture to building bridges. If the coding you do is the equivalent of making ikea furniture. Then yes that stuff is going away, because it's going to be replaced by machines that can produce those parts in bulk.
But if you're creating something special like the Burj Khalifa, or the Golden gate bridge equivalent but in code, no AI is not going to do that for you. It can help with some parts, but no way AI is going to do that sort of engineering, at least not in it's current state.
I think it's worth noting "Coding" spans so many kinds of systems and scale. Not all coding work is the same. Even if you're talking about things which are well-known like "e-commerce" in that industry there are so many variations / many different scales / many different ways to look at the problem.