Funny that on hacker news this gets to the top 10 news items and people even comment on it. On proggit anything related to Aviary is downmodded to hell and beyond... simply because it's about Flash.
Aviary strikes me as very similar to Google Sketchup, both offer tantalizing functionality for free, but if you are used to a beefier tool like Illustrator or Solidworks the capabilities are frustratingly limited. I hope they do well, the web based platform and creative community they have developed are great assets.